Which countries will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for by Feb 1?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any new general tariff on imports into the United States from the listed country goes into effect for any amount of time by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have occurred without being further delayed or suspended. A new general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a new policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from the listed country goes into effect. Only new tariffs specifically targeting the listed country or a specific set of countries including the listed country will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S. from any country) will not count toward this market's resolution. An increase in the rate of pre-existing general tariffs on imports into the US from the listed country will count. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.

Event Stats

Event ID

171012

Start Date

Jan 18, 2026, 1:43 AM

End Date

Feb 1, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

8

Total Volume

155.52K

Liquidity

21.84K

Last Updated

Feb 2, 2026, 7:31 AM