Gavin Newsom
ActiveYes
23.50%
No
76.50%
- Market ID
- 692259
- Volume
- $14,179
- Liquidity
- $5,137
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
23.50%
No
76.50%
Yes
12.50%
No
87.50%
Yes
12.50%
No
87.50%
Yes
13.50%
No
86.50%
Yes
5.45%
No
94.55%
Yes
3.40%
No
96.60%
Yes
10.50%
No
89.50%
Yes
10.00%
No
90.00%
Yes
16.00%
No
84.00%
Yes
1.65%
No
98.35%
Yes
10.00%
No
90.00%
Yes
2.75%
No
97.25%
Yes
4.10%
No
95.90%
Yes
7.00%
No
93.00%
Yes
10.50%
No
89.50%
Yes
11.50%
No
88.50%
Yes
6.00%
No
94.00%
Yes
20.50%
No
79.50%
Yes
4.35%
No
95.65%
Yes
11.50%
No
88.50%
Yes
10.00%
No
90.00%
Yes
3.85%
No
96.15%
Yes
8.00%
No
92.00%
Yes
10.00%
No
90.00%
Yes
10.00%
No
90.00%
Yes
12.50%
No
87.50%
Yes
9.00%
No
91.00%
Yes
8.50%
No
91.50%
Yes
12.00%
No
88.00%
Yes
7.50%
No
92.50%
Yes
8.00%
No
92.00%
Yes
8.50%
No
91.50%
Yes
11.50%
No
88.50%
Yes
4.30%
No
95.70%
Yes
3.30%
No
96.70%
Yes
8.50%
No
91.50%
Yes
8.00%
No
92.00%
Yes
13.00%
No
87.00%
Yes
42.50%
No
57.50%
Yes
4.35%
No
95.65%
Yes
5.50%
No
94.50%
Yes
4.75%
No
95.25%
Yes
4.50%
No
95.50%
Yes
4.60%
No
95.40%
Yes
5.50%
No
94.50%
Yes
6.00%
No
94.00%
Yes
7.00%
No
93.00%
Yes
11.00%
No
89.00%
Yes
6.50%
No
93.50%
Yes
2.80%
No
97.20%
Yes
8.00%
No
92.00%
Yes
4.50%
No
95.50%
Yes
7.00%
No
93.00%
Yes
8.00%
No
92.00%
Yes
7.50%
No
92.50%
Yes
10.50%
No
89.50%
Yes
9.50%
No
90.50%
Yes
12.00%
No
88.00%
Yes
9.50%
No
90.50%
Yes
17.10%
No
82.90%
Yes
8.00%
No
92.00%
Yes
8.00%
No
92.00%
Yes
8.00%
No
92.00%
Yes
10.50%
No
89.50%
Yes
7.50%
No
92.50%
Yes
16.00%
No
84.00%
Yes
8.00%
No
92.00%
Yes
30.00%
No
70.00%
Yes
12.00%
No
88.00%
Yes
7.50%
No
92.50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.