Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
ActiveYes
24.50%
No
75.50%
- Market ID
- 676803
- Volume
- $8,336
- Liquidity
- $1,419
- End Date
- Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
PolymarketActive
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
- Ticker
- will-a-chinese-ai-model-become-1-by-june-30
- Liquidity
- $1,419
- 24h Volume
- $38.87
- End Date
- Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Markets
Event Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a Chinese company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If a Chinese AI model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Event Stats
- Event ID
- 79050
- Start Date
- Nov 12, 2025, 9:42 PM
- End Date
- Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
- Total Markets
- 1
- Total Volume
- 8.34K
- Liquidity
- 1.42K
- Last Updated
- Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM