Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

Market Overview

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Event Description

On Friday, December 26th, Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as a sovereign state. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any other UN member state formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with a relevant country, but do not formally recognize the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a recognizing country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event Stats

Event ID

129423

Start Date

Dec 28, 2025, 11:12 PM

End Date

Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

108.31K

Liquidity

8.57K

Last Updated

Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM