Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
ActiveYes
5.30%
No
94.70%
- Market ID
- 704784
- Volume
- $112,666
- Liquidity
- $9,261
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
PolymarketActive
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
- Ticker
- will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027
- Liquidity
- $9,261
- 24h Volume
- $19.18
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Markets
Event Description
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
Event Stats
- Event ID
- 90601
- Start Date
- Nov 26, 2025, 12:22 AM
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
- Total Markets
- 1
- Total Volume
- 112.67K
- Liquidity
- 9.26K
- Last Updated
- Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM