Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
ActiveYes
11.50%
No
88.50%
- Market ID
- 567621
- Volume
- $6,865,139
- Liquidity
- $510,392
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
PolymarketActive
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Ticker
- will-china-invade-taiwan-before-2027
- Liquidity
- $510,392
- 24h Volume
- $189,791
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Markets
Event Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Event Stats
- Event ID
- 34044
- Start Date
- Jul 24, 2025, 11:47 PM
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
- Total Markets
- 1
- Total Volume
- 6.87M
- Liquidity
- 510.39K
- Last Updated
- Mar 16, 2026, 1:16 AM