Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Event Stats

Event ID

107726

Start Date

Dec 17, 2025, 8:33 PM

End Date

Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

415.54K

Liquidity

45.03K

Last Updated

Mar 16, 2026, 1:16 AM