Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
ActiveYes
2.25%
No
97.75%
- Market ID
- 701290
- Volume
- $1,523,410
- Liquidity
- $106,015
- End Date
- Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
PolymarketActive
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
- Ticker
- will-china-invade-taiwan-by-march-31-2026
- Liquidity
- $106,015
- 24h Volume
- $26,042
- End Date
- Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Markets
Event Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Event Stats
- Event ID
- 89456
- Start Date
- Nov 24, 2025, 5:52 PM
- End Date
- Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
- Total Markets
- 1
- Total Volume
- 1.52M
- Liquidity
- 106.02K
- Last Updated
- Mar 16, 2026, 1:16 AM