Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conrad Kramer ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Conrad’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Conrad indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID

66119

Start Date

Oct 27, 2025, 5:55 PM

End Date

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

3.8K

Liquidity

393.51

Last Updated

Mar 4, 2026, 2:46 AM