Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Event Description

X announced a $1 Million grand prize for its One Million Dollar Article contest (see: https://x.com/XCreators/status/2012306731867717852). The prize will go to the top article for the period of January 16 - January 28, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Koe (@thedankoe) is officially confirmed to have won this $1 Million prize by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements from Dan Koe that he has won the prize will not alone be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Dan Koe winning any additional or sub-prize other than the announced $1 million dollar prize will not count. If it is confirmed that another X user is the winner of this prize, this market will resolve to “No”. If no winner is officially confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from official X sources, including from @Xcreators, other X team accounts, or Elon Musk; however, a consensus of credible information on the winner of this prize may also be used. Note: The terms of this prize may be seen at https://legal.x.com/en/articles-promotion-terms

Event Stats

Event ID

176956

Start Date

Jan 20, 2026, 4:01 PM

End Date

Apr 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

4.27K

Liquidity

6.95K

Last Updated

Mar 16, 2026, 1:08 AM