Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
ActiveYes
0.45%
No
99.55%
- Market ID
- 521963
- Volume
- $129,007
- Liquidity
- $9,504
- End Date
- Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
0.45%
No
99.55%
In Q4 2024, government expenditures were $7,106,807,000,000 see (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by 10% or more between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Any 2025 quarterly report of $6,396,126,000,000 or less will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).