PolymarketActive

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

Ticker
will-elon-cut-the-budget-by-at-least-10-in-2025
Liquidity
$9,504
24h Volume
$3,516
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

Active

Yes

0.45%

No

99.55%

Market ID
521963
Volume
$129,007
Liquidity
$9,504
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM

Event Description

In Q4 2024, government expenditures were $7,106,807,000,000 see (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by 10% or more between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Any 2025 quarterly report of $6,396,126,000,000 or less will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).

Event Stats

Event ID
17824
Start Date
Feb 5, 2025, 11:06 PM
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM
Total Markets
1
Total Volume
129.01K
Liquidity
9.5K
Last Updated
Feb 24, 2026, 1:49 PM