Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
ActiveYes
1.05%
No
98.95%
- Market ID
- 521964
- Volume
- $158,657
- Liquidity
- $5,331
- End Date
- Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM
PolymarketActive
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
- Ticker
- will-elon-cut-the-budget-by-at-least-5-in-2025
- Liquidity
- $5,331
- 24h Volume
- $2,253
- End Date
- Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Markets
Event Description
In Q4 2024, government expenditures were $7,106,807,000,000 (see https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by 5% or more between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Any 2025 quarterly report of $6,751,467,000,000 or less will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Event Stats
- Event ID
- 17825
- Start Date
- Feb 5, 2025, 11:18 PM
- End Date
- Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM
- Total Markets
- 1
- Total Volume
- 158.66K
- Liquidity
- 5.33K
- Last Updated
- Feb 24, 2026, 3:04 PM