December 31
ActiveYes
17.50%
No
82.50%
- Market ID
- 665307
- Volume
- $94,260
- Liquidity
- $12,711
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
PolymarketActive
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
- Ticker
- will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-2027
- Liquidity
- $35,960
- 24h Volume
- $2,614
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Markets
January 31
ActiveYes
3.30%
No
96.70%
- Market ID
- 1162958
- Volume
- $57,946
- Liquidity
- $20,898
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
March 31
ActiveYes
15.00%
No
85.00%
- Market ID
- 1227361
- Volume
- $660.00
- Liquidity
- $1,685
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
March 31
InactiveYes
-
No
-
- Market ID
- 1198771
- Volume
- $0.00
- Liquidity
- $0.00
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
June 30
InactiveYes
-
No
-
- Market ID
- 1179977
- Volume
- $0.00
- Liquidity
- $0.00
- End Date
- Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
June 30
ActiveYes
17.50%
No
82.50%
- Market ID
- 1227362
- Volume
- -
- Liquidity
- $611.17
- End Date
- Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
Event Description
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Event Stats
- Event ID
- 73096
- Start Date
- Nov 5, 2025, 4:31 PM
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
- Total Markets
- 6
- Total Volume
- 152.87K
- Liquidity
- 35.96K
- Last Updated
- Mar 16, 2026, 1:08 AM