Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID

73330

Start Date

Nov 5, 2025, 7:50 PM

End Date

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

47.13K

Liquidity

3.88K

Last Updated

Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM