Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID

61890

Start Date

Oct 19, 2025, 7:13 PM

End Date

Dec 31, 2025, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

3

Total Volume

193.64K

Liquidity

2.64K

Last Updated

Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM