Will Orbán flip Magyar for Next Hungary PM by Jan 31?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Viktor Orbán and Péter Magyar, Viktor Orbán becomes the favorite in the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market (https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-hungary) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Viktor Orbán will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Péter Magyar in more individual minutes than Péter Magyar is ahead of Viktor Orbán during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-viktor-orbn-flip-pter-magyar-for-next-prime-minister-of-hungary or through the “Get Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Event Stats

Event ID

175522

Start Date

Jan 20, 2026, 7:17 PM

End Date

Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

937.66

Liquidity

3.27K

Last Updated

Feb 1, 2026, 8:16 AM