PolymarketActive

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Ticker
will-republicans-lose-house-majority-before-the-midterms
Liquidity
$7,131
24h Volume
-
End Date
Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Active

Yes

15.50%

No

84.50%

Market ID
1178757
Volume
$2,191
Liquidity
$7,131
End Date
Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event Stats

Event ID
162201
Start Date
Jan 13, 2026, 11:17 PM
End Date
Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
1
Total Volume
2.19K
Liquidity
7.13K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM