December 31, 2025
ClosedYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market ID
- 548083
- Volume
- $1,449,792
- Liquidity
- -
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2025, 12:00 PM
PolymarketActive
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
- Ticker
- will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-in-2025
- Liquidity
- $55,134
- 24h Volume
- $416.66
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2025, 12:00 PM
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Markets
June 30, 2026
ActiveYes
4.50%
No
95.50%
- Market ID
- 610256
- Volume
- $328,046
- Liquidity
- $55,134
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2025, 12:00 PM
Event Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries. Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022). The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Event Stats
- Event ID
- 25413
- Start Date
- May 28, 2025, 10:16 PM
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2025, 12:00 PM
- Total Markets
- 2
- Total Volume
- 1.78M
- Liquidity
- 55.13K
- Last Updated
- Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM