Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID

166793

Start Date

Jan 19, 2026, 8:35 PM

End Date

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

2.4K

Liquidity

14.26K

Last Updated

Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM