Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
ActiveYes
7.10%
No
92.90%
- Market ID
- 1144471
- Volume
- $204,041
- Liquidity
- $66,230
- End Date
- Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM
PolymarketActive
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
- Ticker
- will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-in-2026
- Liquidity
- $66,230
- 24h Volume
- $27,084
- End Date
- Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Markets
Event Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
Event Stats
- Event ID
- 153719
- Start Date
- Jan 9, 2026, 6:05 PM
- End Date
- Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM
- Total Markets
- 1
- Total Volume
- 204.04K
- Liquidity
- 66.23K
- Last Updated
- Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM