Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Event Description

The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) is greater than $250b. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.

Event Stats

Event ID

22863

Start Date

Apr 15, 2025, 10:18 PM

End Date

Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

1.1M

Liquidity

22.19K

Last Updated

Mar 1, 2026, 8:01 AM