Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID

79061

Start Date

Nov 12, 2025, 10:11 PM

End Date

Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

6.73K

Liquidity

12.61K

Last Updated

Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM