Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Event Stats

Event ID

143723

Start Date

Jan 4, 2026, 9:05 PM

End Date

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

127.69K

Liquidity

29.18K

Last Updated

Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM