Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
ActiveYes
14.00%
No
86.00%
- Market ID
- 665374
- Volume
- $34,839
- Liquidity
- $12,606
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
PolymarketActive
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Ticker
- will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027
- Liquidity
- $12,105
- 24h Volume
- $329.41
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Markets
Event Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Event Stats
- Event ID
- 73130
- Start Date
- Nov 5, 2025, 5:57 PM
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
- Total Markets
- 1
- Total Volume
- 34.84K
- Liquidity
- 12.1K
- Last Updated
- Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM