Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
ActiveYes
6.50%
No
93.50%
- Market ID
- 1116981
- Volume
- $60,070
- Liquidity
- $26,279
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
6.50%
No
93.50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.