PolymarketActive

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Ticker
will-the-us-invade-mexico-in-2026
Liquidity
$26,279
24h Volume
$14,517
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Active

Yes

6.50%

No

93.50%

Market ID
1116981
Volume
$60,070
Liquidity
$26,279
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID
145925
Start Date
Jan 5, 2026, 10:25 PM
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
1
Total Volume
60.07K
Liquidity
26.28K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM