PolymarketActive

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Ticker
will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025
Liquidity
$161,704
24h Volume
$27,799
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

January 31

Active

Yes

1.20%

No

98.80%

Market ID
956450
Volume
$7,769,187
Liquidity
$85,654
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

December 31, 2025

Closed

Yes

0.00%

No

100.00%

Market ID
589648
Volume
$2,764,332
Liquidity
-
End Date
Dec 31, 2025, 12:00 AM

March 31

Active

Yes

5.50%

No

94.50%

Market ID
663544
Volume
$2,171,616
Liquidity
$55,139
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

December 31

Active

Yes

16.50%

No

83.50%

Market ID
1107737
Volume
$124,175
Liquidity
$20,912
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Event Stats

Event ID
42365
Start Date
Sep 6, 2025, 9:07 PM
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
4
Total Volume
12.83M
Liquidity
161.7K
Last Updated
Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM