Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID

160366

Start Date

Jan 12, 2026, 8:51 PM

End Date

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

2

Total Volume

64.51K

Liquidity

38.12K

Last Updated

Mar 15, 2026, 11:31 PM