PolymarketActive

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

Ticker
will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31
Liquidity
$58,831
24h Volume
$135,138
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

Active

Yes

10.50%

No

89.50%

Market ID
680392
Volume
$2,339,288
Liquidity
$58,831
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).

Event Stats

Event ID
80505
Start Date
Nov 13, 2025, 3:06 PM
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
1
Total Volume
2.34M
Liquidity
58.83K
Last Updated
Feb 4, 2026, 1:01 AM