Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID

107692

Start Date

Dec 17, 2025, 9:12 PM

End Date

Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

4.2K

Liquidity

1.95K

Last Updated

Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM