Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID

78965

Start Date

Nov 11, 2025, 4:51 PM

End Date

Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

82.89K

Liquidity

11.22K

Last Updated

Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM