Polymarket Events

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Another US strike on Venezuela - US strikes Ira…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States forcibly removes Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, from power for any length of time between market creation and March 31…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Othe…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any official Syrian embassy or consulate by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate, or Iran initiates a dron…

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Khamen…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military engagement between the military forces of the United States of America and Venezuela between August 21, and October 31, 20…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if National Guard troops are called to active duty under state control in any part of Minnesota by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the ma…

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrB…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kang Sun-woo spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Tempo…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection located at 49.019334° N, 37.933309° E in Zarichne, Donetsk Oblast, by the specifie…

General elections are scheduled to be held in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines on November 27, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed an…

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally brings criminal charges against, or announces a criminal indictment of, Don Le…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and the specified date and Ma…

Contestants in Beast Games: Season 2 are divided into two teams: Strong and Smart. This market will resolve according to the name of the team to which the winning contestant belon…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is photographed or videotaped wearing a Western-style suit and tie in the physical presence of Trump at any point during t…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration formally announces the establishment of the “Board of Peace” (or a clearly equivalent oversight board fulfilling the …

This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, t…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct …

The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Venezuela. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Venezuel…

This market will resolve if the value of the "[US] Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties" for Q4 2025 is higher than Q3 2025, as…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of J…

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI integrates advertisements into ChatGPT, GPT-4, GPT-4.1, GPT-5, or any successor general-purpose GPT model made publicly available by De…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets over 100 million views in the first 7 days after being posted between September 25 and November 30, 2…

General elections are scheduled to be held in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines on November 27, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased documents containing evidence that Jeffrey Epstein blackmailed any individual are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:5…

Public voting for StopAntisemitism’s 2025 Antisemite of the Year award runs through December 12, 2025 (see: https://stopantisemitism.org/asoty2025top10/) This market will resolve …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Greater Beirut between market creation and the listed date, Israel Standard Time (IST). Ot…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione smiles during his next court appearance after the creation of this market. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only sm…

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine…

The CDC reported a general fertility rate of 53.7 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q2 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm). This market will …

A second-round presidential election is scheduled to be held in Chile on December 14, 2025. This market will resolve according to the second-round turnout percentage, calculated a…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between September 6, 2025, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Military …

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrB…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military engagement between the military forces of Thailand and Cambodia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces in…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Keon Hee is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, including but not limited to allegations of stock price manipulation, br…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that restricts, limits, or bans the purchasing of single-…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Elon Musk between November 24, 2025 and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A…

This market will resolve according to the name of the person announced as the next creative director of Versace. The listed person must be officially announced by Versace or Prada…

On June 13, 2025 Iranian leaders announced they no longer plan to engage in nuclear talks with the U.S. that were scheduled to take place in Oman on Sunday (see: https://thehill.c…

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin - MicroStrategy…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kristi Noem ceases to be the Secretary of Homeland Security for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Ot…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this mark…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between November 11 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market w…

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, sports event contracts listed by a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market (DCM), whether accessed directly…